Burnt-out or end-stage hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (ES-HCM) is an uncommon clinical entity associated with heightened risk of death related to progressive heart failure and malignant arrhythmia. ES-HCM has a prevalence of approximately 3–8.5% and is commonly defined as having a left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (LVEF) <50%.1–5 The development of ES-HCM has been previously reported at 14 ± 10 years from the initial onset of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) symptoms, with rapid progression to death or transplantation 2.7 ± 2 years following end-stage diagnosis.6 While patients with ES-HCM have increased adverse event rates, outcomes remain heterogeneous.1,2,6
Additionally, relying on systolic dysfunction to define clinically-advanced stages of HCM excludes patients with advanced restrictive cardiomyopathy who typically have LVEF >50%.6 The restrictive phenotype has been under-reported in large ES-HCM studies, despite its substantial prevalence and poor outcomes.4,7–9 In this review, we cover various aspects of ES-HCM, including phenotype, pathogenesis, outcomes and management.
Pathophysiology
HCM is a disorder of the myocardial sarcomere, affecting both thick and thin myocardial filaments. Patients who progress to ES-HCM often have pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants.1,10–12 At the molecular level, these mutations result in hypercontractility, altered calcium sensitivity, reduced myocardial compliance and diastolic dysfunction.13 Excessive ATP is consumed to restore and maintain an isokinetic state.14–18
This elevated ATP demand compromises the sarcoendoplasmic reticulum calcium ATPase function, resulting in cytosolic calcium accumulation that activates downstream hypertrophic and pro-apoptotic signalling pathways.19 The result is progressive myocardial hypertrophy, myofibre disarray and interstitial fibrosis.19–21
Approximately 0.5–0.75% of patients with HCM develop ES-HCM annually (Supplementary Table 1).1,11,22 This transition is thought to be driven by adverse remodelling and severe microvascular dysfunction.23–25 Impaired perfusion stems from structural changes in intramural coronary arterioles, worsened by elevated LV filling pressures, increased wall stress, and heightened adrenergic stimulation – particularly during tachyarrhythmias.10,26
Recurrent ischaemia accelerates myocyte loss through necrosis and apoptosis, leading to replacement fibrosis.27 As fibrosis progresses, LV walls thin, contractile function declines and dilative remodelling ensues.25,28 Replacement fibrosis can be measured using late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) imaging, and extensive LGE (>20% of LV mass) is associated with a more than threefold increased risk of ES-HCM within 5 years.29
Finally, these structural changes create patchy arrhythmogenic substrates, enabling re-entrant circuits and sustained ventricular arrhythmias.30 Concurrent ionic remodelling, including late sodium current augmentation and impaired calcium reuptake, prolongs action potentials and further heightens arrhythmic risk and the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD).31
Presentation
Low cardiac output is a hallmark feature of ES-HCM (Figure 1), driving symptoms such as fatigue, light-headedness, syncope, angina and classic heart failure manifestations including dyspnoea, orthopnoea and paroxysmal nocturnal dyspnoea. While the classic form of ES-HCM with LV systolic dysfunction (HCM-LVSD) can be readily identified by 2D echocardiography, recognising the restrictive form of ES-HCM can be particularly challenging.
Not only is LVEF frequently over-interpreted as a stand-alone marker of cardiac function, but these patients also often lack overt signs of volume overload such as peripheral oedema. As a result, the condition may go unrecognised, delaying appropriate therapy despite a prognosis comparable with HCM-LVSD.
Accurate phenotyping requires a comprehensive approach that integrates careful clinical evaluation with multimodality imaging (Table 1 and Figure 2).32 2D echocardiography serves as the cornerstone first-line imaging modality, providing a broad differential that can be refined using cardiac MRI techniques, including LGE and T1- and T2-weighted imaging. Clinical clues that should prompt further haemodynamic assessment with Doppler echocardiography and right heart catheterisation for possible ES-HCM with restrictive filling include recurrent heart failure hospitalisations, persistent New York Heart Association (NYHA) class >II symptoms despite optimised therapy, pulmonary hypertension, right heart failure and comorbid AF.33 Secondary complications, particularly AF, may precipitate abrupt heart failure decompensations or recurrent admissions, revealing limited cardiopulmonary reserve.
Although ES-HCM can present across a spectrum, two principal morpho-functional phenotypes are recognised (Figure 2):
- HCM-LVSD is characterised by excessive LV remodelling and wall thinning, presenting with LVEF <50%.6 While increased LV end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) can be observed, LV cavity dilation is not required for this diagnosis and those with this morpho-functional phenotype may have concomitant restrictive filling.
- Restrictive ES-HCM is a phenotype that features significant diastolic dysfunction, with supporting features of peak E/A ratio ≥2 and rapid deceleration time.7 LV size is small-to-normal and systolic function is mildly reduced or preserved (LVEF >50–55%).4 Patients typically exhibit symptoms of NYHA functional class II or higher.
Regarding LV outflow tract obstruction (LVOTO), this morphological feature is rarely seen in HCM-LVSD.1,5,23 This is an expected finding given the extensive fibrosis and progressive hypocontractility associated with advanced remodelling.
Atrial and Ventricular Arrhythmias
Arrhythmias are a hallmark of HCM disease progression, with both atrial and ventricular forms becoming increasingly prevalent in patients experiencing adverse myocardial remodelling.1,2,5,6,23,34 Key contributors to this arrhythmogenic milieu include LV myocardial fibrosis, elevated LV filling pressures and progressive remodelling of the left atrium, ultimately leading to left atrial (LA) enlargement. These changes create an ideal substrate for atrial arrhythmias, particularly AF.
AF in HCM is associated with significant morbidity and can mark a more advanced disease stage as it is associated with increased risk of death (Supplementary Table 2). AF is twice as common in patients with HCM-LVSD than in those with non-HCM-LVSD and is highly prevalent in patients with ES-HCM (Supplementary Table 3).1,5,6,35 On average, AF precedes the diagnosis of HCM-LVSD by approximately 5.9 ± 6.3 years.2,36
While AF may initially present in a paroxysmal form, it can progress to a persistent state as atrial remodelling advances. This transition is clinically significant, as it is associated with a fourfold increase in the development of ES-HCM, with substantially higher combined probability of HCM-related death, functional impairment and stroke.37,38
Ventricular tachyarrhythmias represent another complication with associated morbidity and mortality (Supplementary Table 2). Up to 75% of patients with HCM-LVSD exhibit sustained or non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) on Holter monitoring.35 The most feared consequence of ventricular arrhythmias is SCD, which has been reported to occur in as many as half of patients with HCM-LVSD over 5–10 years of follow-up.22,35
Risk Factors
Multiple studies have evaluated predictors of HCM-LVSD (Supplementary Table 1). Unsurprisingly, patients with earlier disease onset and with more severe phenotype appear more likely to undergo adverse remodelling. Additional risk factors are summarised in Table 2, with selected elements discussed in more detail below.1,2,4–7,39–41 By contrast, risk factors for restrictive ES-HCM remain poorly characterised, underscoring the need for further investigation across the spectrum of ES-HCM to better inform prevention strategies for this highly morbid disease state.
Genetics
Rowin et al. found that those with ES-HCM were sixfold more likely to have a family history of ES-HCM (12% versus 2%; p=0.002).2 Data from the Sarcomere Human Cardiomyopathy Registry (SHaRe) further linked HCM-LVSD to the presence of one or more pathogenic or likely pathogenic sarcomere variants, including thin filament genes.1 A smaller study of patients with HCM-LVSD and restrictive filling reported similar associations but highlighted a predominance of thick filament variants (e.g. MYBPC3, MYH7) over thin filament variants (e.g. TNNT2, TNNI3, TPM1, ACTC1).7 Importantly, implementation of genetic cascade screening enables earlier identification of at-risk individuals, potentially allowing intervention before adverse remodelling ensues and improving long-term outcomes.
Septal Reduction Therapies
For patients with obstructive HCM and severe symptoms, septal reduction therapies (SRT) are effective and safe, offering lasting symptom relief and improved quality of life. Targeting the underlying LVOTO has been an important therapeutic target to prevent the progression of HCM phenotype HCM-LVSD.42 While the sub-cohort of 1,832 patients undergoing myectomy or alcohol septal ablation (ASA) in the SHaRe had a 2.6-fold increased risk of developing HCM-LVSD, with a 2–5% annual incidence following SRT (11% of those who had SRT developed ES-HCM), several other studies report more reassuring findings.1
A binational sub-cohort showed that among 708 post-myectomy patients, 34 (4.8%) developed ES-HCM, a rate identical to that observed in 1,504 non-operated patients (4.8%; p=0.84), with an RR of 1.02 (95% CI [0.70–1.50]).2 Similarly, among 409 patients who underwent myectomy between 2007 and 2012, none developed HCM-LVSD at 5- or 10-year follow-up.40 Additionally, a large Russian ASA cohort (n=597), including patients who underwent repeat procedures, reported no incident HCM-LVSD over a mean 5.9 ± 3.9 years. Long-term survival remained favourable at 97.4%, 93.2% and 84.9% at 1, 5 and 10 years of follow-up, respectively, and was similar between patients undergoing single versus repeat procedures.41 Studies are needed to clarify who might be at risk of HCM-LVSD development, post-SRT.
Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction 50–60%
Although reductions in LVEF can herald impending HCM-LVSD, reliance on this measure alone is limited by its geometric assumptions, which may not apply to remodelled HCM ventricles.1,5,37 This limitation is particularly pronounced in restrictive HCM, where diastolic and systolic volumes are relatively fixed.33 A multimodal imaging approach is therefore essential. Using speckle-tracking echocardiography, Choi et al. demonstrated that LV global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS) ≤10.5% in patients with preserved LVEF (50–60%) was predictive of progression to SCD (or equivalent arrhythmic event), cardiovascular death or all-cause mortality within a median of 4.1 years.43 Detailed phenotypic evaluation beyond LVEF is typically required for an adequate evaluation of patients with HCM.
AF
AF can be a major sign of HCM progression or a driver of clinical deterioration. While LA enlargement is a well-established predictor of AF, newer pre-clinical markers such as LA reservoir strain (LA-Sr) may offer earlier risk stratification.44 Patients with LA volume <37 ml/m2 versus ≥37 ml/m2 and LA strain >23.4 versus ≤23.4% have superior 5-year AF-free survival of 93% versus 80% (p=0.003) and 98% versus 74% (p=0.002), respectively.45 Combined, LA volume <37 ml/m2 and LA strain >23.4% yielded a high negative predictive value (93% and 98%, respectively) for new-onset AF.45 Furthermore, a LA-Sr <13.3% predicted clinically relevant AF events such as AF episodes requiring electrical cardioversion or catheter ablation, hospitalisation due to AF lasting >24 hours, or a clinical decision to accept permanent AF.46 Implementing a thorough evaluation for patients who develop AF can aid in uncovering of patients with or at risk of ES-HCM.
Evaluation
Diagnostic accuracy for ES-HCM is essential, as delays in recognising disease progression can postpone advanced therapies with significant clinical consequences. A comprehensive evaluation strategy should integrate surveillance for established risk factors (Table 2) and multimodality imaging. While LVSD is commonly used as the primary diagnostic criterion for ES-HCM, it lacks specificity. LVSD may arise from reversible causes such as ischaemic reperfusion injury (e.g. post-percutaneous intervention), tachyarrhythmias, catecholamine surge (e.g. stress-induced cardiomyopathy) or electrical dyssynchrony – processes of true ES-HCM.
In this setting, it is important to avoid attributing a decline in systolic function to disease progression when it may instead reflect underlying dyssynchrony. Careful evaluation of patients with conduction disease and pacing requirements is essential, and timely consideration of CRT can significantly improve LV systolic function and symptoms in appropriately selected patients.47
To enhance diagnostic confidence and reduce misclassification, we recommend incorporating a threshold of LGE >20% on cardiac MRI as supportive evidence of irreversible myocardial fibrosis (Table 1).23,25,28,29 Even prior to overt LVSD, speckle-tracking echocardiography can provide valuable prognostic information, enabling more precise mapping of disease trajectory in this clinically heterogeneous population. In particular, reduced LV-GLS serves as an early marker of systolic dysfunction and potentially restrictive filling.33,43
Outcomes
Mortality Trends and Sudden Cardiac Death
Early studies reported >10% mortality rates in patients with ES-HCM.6 However, outcomes have considerably improved with contemporary management, using ICDs and referring ES-HCM patients early for cardiac transplant evaluation.30 Contemporary outcomes now show markedly improved survival, with all-cause mortality falling to 2.2% annually and a 10-year survival rate of 83%.2 Data from SHaRe indicate that the time from recognition of LVSD to a composite of all-cause mortality, transplant, or LV assist device (LVAD) requirement – now spans up to 8.4 years.1 Nevertheless, these events still occur in approximately 35% of patients with HCM-LVSD.1
While HCM-LVSD patients carry a 4- to 5-fold higher risk of SCD compared with those with non-HCM-LVSD,1,2 the widespread adoption of ICDs since the early 2000s have prolonged the longevity of HCM patients and has markedly shifted the primary cause of death in ES-HCM toward circulatory failure – accounting for 50–60% of HCM-related mortality.11,30
AF and Prognosis
AF is associated with adverse outcomes in HCM. A meta-analysis of six studies involving 6,858 HCM patients – including 1,314 with AF – demonstrated that AF is independently associated with increased cardiac mortality, even after excluding stroke-related deaths (OR 2.6; 95% CI [1.6–4.2], p=0.0002).48 Among ES-HCM patients, AF similarly confers increased risk of mortality (HR 2.6; 95% CI [1.7–3.8]).1,4 Furthermore, progression from paroxysmal to persistent AF is associated with developing ES-HCM, requiring cardiac transplantation and facing HCM-related death.4,34,37
Systemic Embolism and Stroke
Even in the absence of AF, HCM has an increased risk of thromboembolism. Independent predictors of thromboembolic events include age ≥65 years, heart failure-related dyspnoea, and LV hypertrophy (LVH).11,49–51 Among patients with HCM-LVSD, this risk is particularly pronounced by the stagnation of blood associated with myocardial dyskinesis.27 In one cohort, mural thrombus was present in 19% and cerebral thromboembolism occurred in 20% of HCM-LVSD patients, yet only 36% were anticoagulated – despite 53% having AF – underscoring an opportunity for stroke prevention.11 In the SHaRe registry, HCM-LVSD was associated with 8.4% stroke-related mortality and a 3.7-fold higher risk compared with those without LVSD.1 Additionally, systemic embolism has been observed in 2% of the HCM-LVSD population, adding to the morbidity of this disease.11
The Restrictive Phenotype
While most published data focus on HCM-LVSD, a smaller, but clinically significant, group presents with advanced heart failure symptoms despite preserved ejection fraction, often with restrictive physiology. Although this phenotype affects 6% of the HCM population, it remains under-recognised and under-treated.9 One-third of these patients reach mortality-equivalent outcomes such as transplant, ICD discharge or death, with a 3.5-fold increased risk of sudden cardiac events.8,9
Despite this, patients with restrictive disease often receive less aggressive management. A recent Italian retrospective study of 331 ES-HCM patients found no notable differences in HCM-related mortality or need for advanced therapies between restrictive HCM and HCM-LVSD subgroups.4 However, patients with restrictive HCM were more severe in presentation (i.e. NYHA class III/IV, AF) and were disproportionately older and female.2,4 High NYHA functional class is itself independently linked to worse outcomes, yet restrictive HCM patients were less frequently considered for transplant or LVAD.2,4,7,11,39
These disparities mirror findings from the SHaRe registry, where older women with preserved ejection fraction were overrepresented among patients who developed advanced symptoms following ASA.52 As such, guidelines recommendations are to consider patients with advanced symptoms and haemodynamic compromise for cardiac transplantation irrespective of systolic function.7,36,47
Treatment
Neurohormonal Modulation
ES-HCM treatment must be individualised based on haemodynamic phenotype and tolerability. Broadly, HCM therapy aims to reduce myocardial demand and improve diastolic function, which is thought to be indirectly achieved by beta-blockers, non-dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers and disopyramide.47 More recently, cardiac myosin inhibitors (CMIs) have been developed to directly target the underlying sarcomere-driven hypercontractility, which is discussed further below.53,54
Once LVEF falls below 50%, neurohormonal modulation, which represents the standard therapeutic approach in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, is empirically recommended.47 This includes β-blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, angiotensin receptor–neprilysin inhibitors, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists or sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors. However, no clinical trials have specifically validated these therapies in ES-HCM, leaving their role uncertain and highlighting the need for further research in this distinct population.
AF Management
There are no randomised controlled trials specifically addressing AF management in ES-HCM. While similar strategies to those for patients with non-HCM heart failure are recommended, rhythm control is generally preferred over rate control for control of symptoms and for avoidance of worsening the low-output state of ES-HCM. However, rhythm control in HCM is challenging, and catheter ablation, surgical ablation and anti-arrhythmic drugs are used with mixed success.55 Because the recurrence rate is higher in patients with HCM compared with other conditions, thorough counselling of patients is essential.
Thrombosis and Stroke Management
HCM significantly increases thromboembolic risk, particularly in the setting of AF, which elevates this risk by 8.4-fold.38,51,56,57 In those with HCM-LVSD, AF is even more prevalent, occurring in up to 42–58%.1,2,6,35 Given this heightened risk, current guidelines recommend anticoagulation with a direct-acting oral anticoagulant for patients with clinical or subclinical AF, regardless of CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.47,58 These recommendations reflect the limited utility of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score in HCM, as it was not originally validated in this population and performs poorly in predicting thromboembolic events.37,38,51
ICDs
As discussed in the Outcomes section, the use of ICDs in HCM, coupled with contemporary SCD risk stratification, has notably reduced HCM-related mortality.59 In the general heart failure population, ICDs are recommended for primary SCD prevention in patients with LVEF ≤35% and NYHA functional class II–III symptoms despite optimal guideline-directed medical therapy. In contrast, HCM-specific guidelines recommend ICD placement for patients with LVEF <50%, reflecting the distinct outcomes of this disease.47 This distinction is clinically significant: nearly half of patients with HCM-LVSD experience SCD or aborted cardiac arrest.22
Conversely, HCM patients with preserved LVEF have other risk factors that heighten their need for ICD prophylaxis. These include a family history of HCM-related SCD before age 50 years, LV hypertrophy >30 mm, unexplained syncope or the presence of an apical aneurysm with transmural LGE. Additional considerations include non-sustained VT and extensive LGE (>20% LV mass), a surrogate for myocardial replacement fibrosis and arrhythmogenic risk. All the while, ICDs remain the cornerstone of secondary prevention in patients with a history of life-threatening ventricular tachyarrhythmias.
Cardiac Resynchronisation Therapy
Given the high prevalence of left bundle branch block (LBBB) in HCM, including in patients with prior SRT, current guidelines recommend CRT in HCM patients with LVEF <50%, NYHA functional class II–IV symptoms refractory to optimised medical therapy and LBBB.47 Rowin et al. found that 62% of patients with LVEF >35%, advanced heart failure symptoms and QRS >120 ms experienced symptom improvement 1 year post-CRT.2 Subsequently, 30% maintained NYHA functional class I–II, while another 30% relapsed into advanced heart failure by 3.4±2.2 years.2 Future studies are required to determine the most suitable candidates for ES-HCM CRT.
Left Ventricular Assist Device
LVADs are not particularly useful in HCM because of the small cavity size and considerable LV hypertrophy. These technical and physiological limitations have made LVAD implantation in HCM restrictive cardiomyopathy relatively uncommon. Despite these challenges, studies demonstrate that, when successfully implanted, LVAD outcomes such as 1- and 4-year survival or length of hospital stay are comparable to those in patients with dilated or ischaemic cardiomyopathy.60,61 However, those with very small LVs (<50 mm) did have significantly lower survival and perioperative complications such as right ventricular failure, infection, bleeding, stroke, renal dysfunction and arrhythmias did occur with increased frequency in the HCM-LVSD restrictive and HCM populations.61,62 Nevertheless, LVAD use as bridge-to-transplant in HCM patients does not increase the risk of waitlist mortality or delisting compared with ischaemic or non-ischaemic cardiomyopathies, but due to these challenges, upfront cardiac transplant is preferred over using an LVAD as a bridge.63
Transplantation
Cardiac transplantation remains the only definitive therapy for patients with ES-HCM.64 Recognising the historically poor outcomes associated with end-stage HCM under prior listing criteria, the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network/United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) registry revised their cardiac transplant allocation system in 2018.65 This change was driven by the unique pathophysiological features of HCM, particularly the presence of fixed pulmonary hypertension, which previously excluded many patients from transplant eligibility.66 Since the policy update, there has been a meaningful reduction in waitlist time and an increase in transplant rates for HCM patients. Although HCM accounts for a small proportion of all transplant cases – 2.8% in the UNOS Registry – post-transplant outcomes are excellent, reaching 93% 1-year survival.67 Similar findings were reported in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, in which HCM comprised 2.1% of transplants and again demonstrated >90% 1-year survival.68
Longer-term outcomes are favourable as well. Five-year survival in HCM patients surpassed both ischaemic cardiomyopathy (82.5% versus 75.3%; p=0.01) and non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy (77.2%; p=0.04).68 Fortunately, the risk of graft rejection is not increased with HCM (HR 0.8 [95% CI, 0.2–3.1]; p=0.71) and recurrence in the transplanted heart has not been observed histologically.68,69 Moreover, a substantial survival benefit – averaging 10±8 years – has been documented in 79% of HCM patients with restrictive physiology.7 These data support the current class I recommendation for transplant evaluation in HCM patients with advanced heart failure.47
Cardiac Myosin Inhibitors
Mavacamten and aficamten are two CMIs that reduce actin–myosin cross-bridge formation and the hypercontractile state characteristic of HCM. Clinical trials have demonstrated excellent functional and symptomatic improvements. In EXPLORER-HCM, mavacamten improved exercise capacity, symptoms, patient-reported outcomes and LV outflow tract gradients.70 Long-term follow-up from VALOR-HCM confirmed sustained improvements and reduction in the need for SRT.71 In SEQUOIA-HCM and MAPLE-HCM, aficamten improved the same metrics that were improved with mavacamten, with a lower incidence of systolic dysfunction than previously seen.72,73 While these medications are expected to provide favourable structural remodelling and prevent further deterioration of the underlying phenotype, long-term data to that effect are still needed.74,75 In addition, CMIs are contraindicated in patients with HCM-LVSD. However, it is important not to equate systolic reduction to the spontaneous development of HCM-LVSD. It is very clear that the LVEF reduction seen using CMIs is a type of exaggerated pharmacodynamic effect that is reversible once the CMI is stopped or downtitrated.
Future Directions: Prevention of Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction and Restrictive Cardiomyopathy
Given the established link between myocardial fibrosis and declining cardiac function, anti-fibrotic strategies have long been of interest. Early studies, such as a 2005 randomised trial by Kawano et al., showed that valsartan could suppress plasma procollagen type I carboxyterminal peptide, a fibrosis biomarker.76 In 2013, Shimada et al. demonstrated modest reductions in LGE with losartan over 1 year.77 However, this benefit was not replicated in patients with extensive fibrosis.78 As a result, preventive efforts have shifted upstream, focusing on genotype-positive, LVH-negative individuals before irreversible remodelling occurs.13,23,79,80
Targeting the cardiac sarcomere with CMIs offers promise in disrupting the maladaptive remodelling cascade. While short-term cardiac MRI studies are very encouraging, longer-term studies are needed to examine this further.74,75
Conclusion
The historically poor prognosis associated with HCM-LVSD is being reshaped by emerging multinational registry data. Contemporary management has transformed the outcomes of patients with ES-HCM. However, there remains significant unmet need given that the only definitive therapy is cardiac transplant.
